Fantasy Football Predictions: AFC West

Fantasy season is just around the corner, and I have put together my fantasy hits and misses for this 2009 season.

The AFC West may not be particularly good defensively, but I have compiled players from each team that will have a major impact on the fantasy market.

 

Oakland Raiders

First, the Oakland Raiders—this team has the most speed in the AFC and probably in the NFL, but that does not always equate to talent. Let me walk you through the best in Raiders Nation.

 

Zach Miller, TE

This guy is a machine in gaining yards and snagging catches; he will most likely be Oakland’s top receiver again this year. Last year Miller snagged 56 passes for 778 yards and one touchdown. Now, the one touchdown might not be that impressive, but he really does not have a quality quarterback to get passes from.

When it comes to underrated tight ends, Miller is in the top five. He produces on a team that really does not pass the ball much. For the 2009 season, I can easily see Miller getting around the same yardage but increase his touchdowns to the 5-7 range.

 

Darren McFadden, RB

This guy was drafted out of Arkansas and had probably the highest expectations out of any other non-quarterback player coming out of the draft. Although he only had 499 yards for four touchdowns last season, that still does not rule him out as an impact player.

There is a thing called the sophomore slump, but I believe it will be the exact opposite for McFadden as he will gain about 900-1,000 yards on the ground and get eight TDs.

 

Darrius Heyward-Bey, WR

I personally do not think this was the best choice by the Raiders, but I do believe that Al Davis will tell the coaching staff to get this guy the ball often. He will be getting many opportunities to get the ball, Oakland does not have any quality receivers, and, next to Miller, Bey will get a great amount of balls thrown his way. I see Bey in the range of 500-600 yards with about four touchdowns.

 

Players to avoid for the Raiders would be their DST (defense and special teams) and pretty much all the receivers, except Bey and Miller.

 

Kansas City Chiefs

Moving on, the Kansas City Chiefs have much young talent waiting for that perfect coach to take them to the next level. They believe Todd Haley is that coach.

 

Matt Cassel, QB

Coming out of Josh McDaniels’ system in New England, Cassel could have never imagined a better situation. He sure got great in a little amount of time thanks to amazing coaching and his ability to create plays with his feet.

Cassel coming into Kansas City does not have the weapons like he had in New England, but he does have stars in Dwayne Bowe and Larry Johnson. He will put up some pretty good numbers and will probably not be a starter in most leagues, but if your player is having a bye week, Cassel is a solid pick. I see Cassel throwing for 3,500 yards with 22 TDs.

 

Dwayne Bowe, WR

A very explosive player, Bowe is your prototypical receiver—he is strong, fast, and can catch. He also is one of the most underrated receivers coming into this year.

Last year Bowe had 86 receptions for 1,022 yards with seven touchdowns, but many people do not really talk about him.

They soon will. He has a solid quarterback to throw to him now and he will only improve on his numbers before eventually making it to the Pro Bowl. I see Bowe having another solid year, with 1,200 yards and nine TDs.

 

Larry Johnson, RB

He has not really been healthy over the past two seasons, but when he is he can run over almost any defense. LJ has a unique combination of speed and size, much like Christian Okoye, formerly of the Chiefs. Johnson will get back to form this season and rush for 1,300 yards with 11 TDs

 

Players to avoid are the Chiefs D/ST because it is too inconsistent—some weeks it does well and some weeks it looks like it couldn’t stop a college team.

 

Denver Broncos

Next we go to the Denver Broncos. This team had the No. 1 offense in the AFC West last season. They had many solid fantasy players that put up some impressive numbers.

 

Kyle Orton, QB

Now before you leave me a nasty message saying how he sucks, listen to this first. Orton is entering his contract year; statistically, players do their best in their contract year. Next, Orton is entering a system in which it is not so much about how athletic you are at quarterback but how you understand the game and how accurate you are—the decision-making being a key point too.

Orton is a better decision-maker than Jay Cutler. He will not throw the ball into triple coverage, and he is a smart player. Also, he never had weapons to work with in Chicago and he still managed to throw for 18 touchdowns in 15 starts.

Coming into Denver, he has probably the top recievers in the AFC in Brandon Marshall, Eddie Royal, Tony Scheffler, Brandon Stokley. I see Orton throwing for 3,700 yards and 24 TDs

 

Brandon Marshall, WR

Over the past two seasons, Marshall has been one of the top receivers in the league at catching balls and creating plays. He will continue to produce as he is entering a contract year. He wants more money, he says; well, he will sure show that on the field, as this will be Marshall’s breakout year. He will have 1,400 yards and 11 TDs if his new QB produces at a good level.

 

Eddie Royal, WR

The surprise rookie player of last year, Royal was statistically the best rookie receiver since Anquan Boldin and he showed why. He was Denver’s most consistent player, only dropping three balls. He was very exciting to watch and he had a coming-out party for the ages when he squared off against Oakland’s secondary. Royal will gain around the same yardage as last season, he might even break 1,000 yards and snag eight TDs.

 

Knowshon Moreno RB

Drafted for one reason only (to start), Moreno was a beast coming out of Georgia—he was a human highlight reel. His production will cross over to the NFL as he becomes Denver’s next great running back. He will have 1,100 yards with 10 TDs.

 

Players to avoid are Tony Scheffler; under Josh McDaniel’s new system, tight ends do not see the ball much. They are generally used for blocking and only used primarily in the red zone. So if Scheffler does see production, it will be mostly in the red zone.

 

San Diego Chargers

Last but not least we have the San Diego Chargers. This team showed great heart in knocking Denver off the top spot for the AFC West championship. They also have great offensive talent to consider in fantasy leagues.

 

Antonio Gates, TE

Well, I do not really have to say much about this one; he is highly regarded as the second best tight end behind Tony Gonzalez. Year in and year out, he scorches defenses for yards and he always produces. He will have another solid year and gain 900 yards and 10 TDs.

 

LaDainian Tomlinson, RB

He has something to prove as he was pretty much pushed to the side for Darren Sproles while dealing with injuries last season. LT has gained over 1,100 yards every year he has been in the league and he has a combined 126 TDs over his career.

Coming into this year’s offseason, it was either take a pay cut or leave for LT. He will prove this year that he is not getting old and he will run over everybody. LT will have another year like 2006 and rush for 1,500 yards and 16 TDs.

 

San Diego D/ST

Whether it’s Darren Sproles taking one to the house on your team or it’s San Diego getting sacks like it is nothing, the Chargers special teams and defense will dominate again this year.

 

Philip Rivers, QB

Many people are saying that this man is the most underrated QB who was in the playoffs; as a Denver fan, I agree on that. There is no way that this guy should have missed the Pro Bowl last season. It is unbelievable to think that a man who has thrown for 4,009 yards and 34 TDs did not make the Pro Bowl.

Oh yeah, and he had the league’s highest QB rating, with 105.5. This man will not slow down at all, even though he does not have the strongest arm or he may not be mobile, he still will put up huge numbers and eventually take his team to the Super Bowl. I see Rivers throwing for 3,900 yards and 35 TDs and possibly winning MVP honors this season.

 

Players to avoid for the Chargers are members of the pass defense in IDP leagues; they were very inconsistent last season and they were saved by the run defense.

The Top 10 Broncos of last 30 years: Defense

The Denver Broncos were not only known for there offense over the past 20 years. They had a period of defensive dominance.

I compiled a list of my all time Denver Broncos defensive players. This was based on overall skill set, stats over there career or during their career, and what they have accomplished.

When it comes to winning games, remember the key is in the defense, and not just the offense.
Leave your thoughts and comments please.

The Top 10 Broncos of All Time: Offense

The Denver Broncos over the past 25 years have created many great offensive players. There have been many records set and there have been 6 super bowl appearances with the Broncos winning two of them. Year in and year out the Broncos improve on offense and have also been one of the best offensive producing teams in the NFL. So i decided to break down a list of my all time best Broncos players. I ranked the top ten Broncos based on overall skill set, wins, and what they have accomplished in their careers whether it be a short career or a long career.

State Of The Denver Broncos

The NFL is a place where teams are judged on whether or not they can win games, and make a run in the playoffs. There are teams in the NFL who can do this every year and there are teams who have simply just fallen off the radar.

The Denver Broncos was a franchise that began in 1960 as an original American Football League team (AFL). They started off abysmal, losing games in embarrassing fashions getting blown out every game, and overall not being a good organization. The Broncos went 13 seasons until having a winning record, and they are the only original AFL team to have never played in a title game. It took this team until the late 70s to make their mark in the NFL. However this team did end up winning a Superbowl in the 1997 and 1998 seasons with John Elway under center.

Now the Broncos find themselves facing what they did in their losing seasons. They face too many changes, new quarterback, new coaches, new playbooks, it seems like absolutely everything is changing, and not for the better is appears. Not too many things are shaping up to be positive for this team. From the negative attitudes of certain players, to all the skepticism over Jay Cutler leaving to Chicago.

This team appears to be heading in the wrong direction to many people. Most NFL experts and analyst have this team winning less than eight games. One of the only positives of this team is the explosive offense, but as said before, Jay Cutler is gone, and Brandon Marshall wants out of Denver. If Marshall leaves then you can not possibly imagine this team making the playoffs for the next couple of years. He really is that important to the Broncos overall establishment. From the double coverage that frees up others, to the big play making ability.

Just to think that only three season ago this team was one game away from the superbowl. Ha there was even a great chance they would have won the superbowl that year against the Seattle Seahawks. Many things have changed since then. A quarterback has came and left, all defensive positions besides Champ Bailey have changed, the Broncos cant find that next face at running back. The Broncos have been a big box of confusion since that game against the Steelers in the 2005 season.

Coming back to the present, I believe that the Broncos have done some positive things in the off-season free agent period, losing Jay Cutler was not one of them, but the addition of many players will immediately make the Broncos better.

Brian Dawkins will have a couple good seasons in Denver before he retires. Andre Goodman will help the secondary and will not get beat as much as Dre Bly did. Kyle Orton will step in and do what he has to do to win games, remember he has Brandon Marshall, Eddie Royal, Brandon Stokley, and Tony Scheffler.

This foursome of players have very good hands and have a ability to create plays. If there was a situation where a team could run Quarterback by committee, it would be the Denver Broncos, because the surrounding offensive talent is great. Also picking up Renaldo Hill will add some much needed depth to the Broncos secondary.

The 2009 draft class was great too, not nearly as close as last years but i see some major things from specifically three players from that class. The total list of 2009 draft class includes:

Round 1:

(12) Knowshon Moreno RB Georgia

(18) Robert Ayers DE/LB Tennessee
Round 2: 

(37) Alphonso Smith CB Wake Forest
(48) Darcel McBath S Texas Tech

(64) Richard Quinn TE North Carolina
Round 4:

(114) David Bruton FS Notre Dame

(132) Seth Olsen OG Iowa
Round 5:
(141) Kenny McKinley WR South Carolina
Round 6:

(174) Tom Brandstater QB Fresno State
Round 7:
(225) Blake Schleuter C Texas Christian

The three players that impress me from this draft class is Knowshon Moreno, Robert Ayers, and my personal favorite Alphonso Smith. When it comes to picking up the best running back in the draft you have to give the edge of Moreno. He rushed for over 2,700 yards and 30 T.D.’s in two seasons. He also managed to grab 53 balls for 3 scores.

Knowshon Moreno is most know for his ability to make cuts and direction better than anyone in college football. He may not be super fast, but come game day he is most likely and able to shake a defender out of his boots. i can easily see Moreno having 1,000 yards and 8 touchdowns in Denver in his rookie season.

Robert Ayers coming from Tennessee, he already played the best of the best, and that included Georgia’s running back Moreno. This guy is a physical beast. He can stand up and play linebacker, and he can bull-rush to the Quarterback to get a sack. He reminds me of Shawn Merriman of the Chargers.

Just because they both are athletic enough to play linebackers but they are defensive ends at heart. Even though Ayers did not have a bunch of sacks and he had limited playing experience in college he still has the ability to become one of, if not the best Denver linebacker next to DJ Williams. Ayers has even been getting a lot of buzz from coaches and players, he is most likely going to start in this Denver defense whether it be with his fingers in the ground or lined up over the tight end playing outside linebacker.

Alphonso Smith out of Wake Forrest is a first rounder in my opinion if he was 5’11 or 6’0. Smith has been called the best cover corner in the draft and some even call him the best overall corner in the draft. This guy can play, he has 21 interceptions in his college career. He is going to be the next great Defensive back in Denver when Bailey leaves.

The Denver Broncos are a team still in the rebulding stage, and do not be surprised if this team is not in playoff talks until the next two years. I believe it will take one more draft class to make this team better for the next ten years. Since the Broncos are already within the top five for youngest team in the NFL they should be set for young talent for some time. If the Broncos do keep Brandon Marshall, then i see no excuses for Kyle Orton to not put of decent numbers.

The state of the Denver Broncos is not entirely good, but at the same time it is not that bad because you get a new face at Quarterback with a better attitude then Jay Cutler, you get a coach who has been around winning players and knows how to win, you get Brian Dawkins who will immediately make Denver’s secondary better. And you get three first round talents in the first two round of the NFL draft.

At the best i see the Broncos with an 9-7 record, at the worst i see the Broncos with an 6-10 record.

PS. Please comment and give me all your insight on what you guys think about where this team is headed and just give me your overall thoughts.
Thanks

 

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